Tag: icttwitterspace

  • How To Win Trades: An Interactive Love Story | December 3, 2022

    Summary — key points and actionable takeaways from ICT’s talk

    Big picture
    – Winning in trading is a long, personal process. There are no shortcuts: know yourself, identify your weaknesses, and remove or manage them so they don’t wreck your decisions.
    – Consistency beats flashy one-off wins. The mentor’s objective is to teach you a repeatable process so you become independent, not dependent on someone else’s calls.

    Self-knowledge & psychology
    – Traders must honestly assess personal frailties (impulsiveness, substance use, codependency, anxiety). These show up in trading (bailing early, re‑entering impulsively, overleveraging).
    – Don’t broadcast failures on social media. Keep a private, positive trading journal—your best learning resource and encouragement.
    – Treat losses as “taxes” of the business; don’t let them create emotional spiral or impulsive “fix-it” trades.

    Process & skill development
    – The path: backtest (min. 3 months, ideally 6) → tape‑reading (watch live price without trading) → demo trading (min. 3 months; 6 months preferred) → consider live. Rushing to live trading causes failure.
    – Tape‑reading and logging screenshots/annotations of what you think is happening trains your narrative and improves pattern recognition.
    – Journal entries should be constructive: document what you saw, why you traded (or didn’t), and what happened.

    Market structure, narrative and bias
    – Market structure + seasonality + narrative determine high‑probability bias.
    – Seasonality: spring tends to form a high and bias lower into summer; fall tends to form lows and bias higher into year‑end (Santa Claus rally window ~ mid‑Sept to mid‑Nov).
    – Detect quarterly shifts by divergence between the big averages (SPX, NASDAQ, Dow). Once one average fails to make a high/low, look for structure shifts on H4/1H and trade with that bias.
    – Narrative = how liquidity/order flow will be delivered (algorithms, manual interventions). Bias = directional expectation. Know both before taking entries.
    – After big news (NFP, CPI, FOMC) expect one‑sided, whip‑saw moves that sweep liquidity both sides. Wait for the volatility to settle, then trade inefficiencies (imbalances, fair value gaps, order blocks).

    Tactics & entries
    – Use smart‑money concepts: fair value gaps, order blocks, liquidity draws, stop runs—identify where algorithmic repricing will invite retail participation.
    – Pyramid entries are individual, repeatable entries; manage stops to reduce risk as price moves in your favor (not increasing risk). Partials are practical: take money off the table.
    – Low‑hanging fruit approach: target small objective per trade/session (examples: 3–6 handles per session in E‑mini S&P; 10 handles as a simple target is a reliable “enough”). For FX, think in pips (e.g., ~20–30 pip intraday thresholds).

    Risk & money management
    – Stop losses are mandatory. Trading without stops is a path to ruin.
    – Personalize risk per trade; industry “two percent” rules aren’t one‑size fits all. Many traders do better with far smaller per‑trade risks (e.g., 0.5%).
    – When using funded accounts or large implied buying power, only use ~30% of that equity as your working capital (so you don’t overleverage the platform’s nominal balance).
    – Money management and compounding beat reckless leverage. Small consistent gains compound into large returns; preserving capital is the top rule.

    Competition (Robins/FTMO) advice
    – Competitions reward discipline, not YOLO leverage. Use industry margins and stop losses—don’t rely on inflated offshore margins.
    – Strategy: pick a simple, repeatable daily/sessional target (e.g., small fixed handles/pips), hit it, stop for the day. Let money management compound results.
    – Example math: aiming for ~11–12.5% per week via steady, repeatable small gains is far more achievable and sustainable than chasing massive one‑offs.

    Practical reminders & warnings
    – Prefer index futures for cleaner, more predictable action (ES/NQ). Be careful with FX and crypto—structural risks (CBDC, pegging) and extreme, sudden volatility make them riskier.
    – Avoid system‑hopping and trying to mix every teacher’s ideas; pick a model/cookie‑cutter and apply it consistently until proven in your journal/demo.
    – Trading can have severe personal consequences. If you have debilitating emotional responses to money lost or gained, address that before trading live.

    Concrete action checklist
    1. Do 3–6 months of backtesting; then 3–6 months tape‑reading/demo trading.
    2. Keep a private, positive, detailed trading journal (screenshots + quick narrative).
    3. Identify personal weaknesses (impulsivity, substances, emotional triggers) and mitigate them.
    4. Learn market‑structure + seasonality (watch SPX/NQ/DOW divergences) to form bias.
    5. Use fair value gaps/order blocks/imbalances for entries; always use stop losses.
    6. Personalize risk; consider trading against only 30% of funded buying power.
    7. Target small, repeatable objectives (low‑hanging fruit) and let compounding/money management do the rest.

    End note
    – The speaker emphasizes discipline, humility, and sustained effort. If you commit to the process—backtesting, journaling, tape‑reading and conservative risk management—you can achieve consistent results.

  • Morning Routine Before Trading | November 27, 2022

    Summary — key points from the ICT

    – Morning routine (practical): hydrate (20 oz water), eat a half banana for potassium, stretch. Then review your market prep (economic calendar, weekly analysis) and have a pen/pad for notes.

    – Pre-session checklist: always consult an economic calendar (filter medium/high-impact events and relevant pairs/instruments). Revisit your prior (weekend) weekly analysis to see if anything changed while you were away.

    – Weekly-bias framework: pick a weekly bias on the weekend by asking whether the coming weekly candle’s largest expansion is likely up or down (not predicting the weekly close). That bias becomes your primary “buy model” or “sell model” for intraday sizing and trade selection.

    – Institutional flow and liquidity: markets are driven by large, slow institutional flows. Trade setups are often the result of engineered moves (opposite, short-term drops or spikes during news) that draw retail liquidity — these are the opportunities to trade into (e.g., runs for sell-side liquidity when you want to go long).

    – Entry concepts: look for runs into: (a) lows that draw liquidity, or (b) fair value gaps / imbalances (SIBI/CBI concepts). Use intraday timeframes (15m as a bellwether, down to 1m for execution examples) but always frame trades within the weekly/daily context.

    – Position sizing & leverage rules: use maximum leverage for trades that align with your weekly bias. If you trade against the weekly bias, reduce size to ~50% (or less). Build positions in the direction of institutional flow; avoid large leverage on counter-bias trades.

    Trade-management rules (practical discipline):
    – Use stop losses (you can’t know outcomes).
    – Two-trade morning rule: if you lose two specified trades (first larger, second ≤50% size), stop trading for the day (or PM session). After a losing day, reduce risk on next trading day (e.g., trade 2 contracts if prior losses were 10 & 5 until you recover a set percentage).
    – Take partials, leave a small runner to target liquidity; don’t overstay positions or turn intraday guesses into long swing exposures.

    – Loss & drawdown mindset: losing trades are inevitable; manage how you lose, log every trade, and rebuild systematically. Backtesting, journaling and repetitive practice create “pseudo-experience” and pattern recognition.

    – Market choice & study advice: concepts transfer across asset classes (Forex, indices, commodities), but for real-time examples study US index futures (ES/NQ) since data and examples are easy to observe. Forex can be highly manipulated and less consistent; trade what fits your location, regulation and comfort.

    – Career / lifestyle advice: don’t quit your job until you have consistent profitability for ~2 years, two years of living expenses saved, and recommended minimum trading equity (~$100k). Avoid trying to hurry success for social media or funded-account fame.

    – Teaching philosophy: develop your own adapted model — don’t blindly copy. Specialize in one (or two) markets and timeframes that suit your personality. Embrace the discipline of backtesting and journaling; patience and repetition are required.

    – Current environment & final cautions: markets have become tougher and more event-driven recently; expect choppiness and false moves. Be conservative, stick to rules, and avoid chasing hype or “get-rich-quick” bootcamp promises.

  • How To Study ICT Properly | November 26, 2022

    Summary — How to study ICT (Michael J. Huddleston)

    – Start with a clear mission statement and a study journal. Write why you’re studying, which market/instrument and time frame you’ll specialize in, and record questions, trades, wins and losses.

    – Follow a defined study order — begin with the 2022 mentorship (one video per day), then the core content, then the Market Maker Primer. Don’t cherry‑pick videos from algorithms or social media.

    – Build a single, simple trading model (the 2022 model is the recommended baseline). Apply a limited set of tools (fair value gaps, breakers, order‑flow entry drills, turtle‑style ideas) rather than forcing every tool on every trade.

    – Practice in demo/paper first. Only you decide when to go live — start tiny, low leverage, and expect psychological changes when real money is involved (flip a coin for your first tiny live trade if needed to get past fear).

    – Accept that losses happen. Log mistakes honestly, learn from them, and avoid selective sharing of wins on social media. Consistency and boring discipline beat flashy, risky behavior.

    – Manage risk and position sizing carefully: excellent charting without risk control can still blow your account.

    – Mindset and personal life matter. Resolve personal issues, control impatience and emotional motivations (wanting to prove people wrong, escape pain, or chase instant results) — these commonly sabotage traders.

    – Be patient and diligent: disciplined daily chart study (review ranges, weekly/daily context) and sustained practice — often months to a year — are required to become consistently profitable.

    – Final note: ICT emphasizes practical, no‑nonsense teaching, wants students to succeed, and will be offline until February 7, 2023.

  • Final ICT Shotgun Saturday 2022 | November 19, 2022

    Summary — ICT closing thoughts (end of 2022) and outlook for 2023

    – Purpose & tone: A final, blunt “closing thoughts” talk to the community — grateful for growth, proud of students, sharing lessons learned and plans for 2023.

    – Family & community notes: Personal anecdotes about his children (pride in his son Caleb, concern about his daughter’s choices). Praises community camaraderie but warns against negativity and gatekeeping.

    – Teaching model & access: Announces private mentorship/community will be shut down and content made 100% public in 2023 — no more exclusive paid mentorships. He regrets past content being copied/monetized, but stands by freely sharing his methods.

    – Trading philosophy & practical rules:
    – Go slow: don’t chase fast big returns or try to impress; steady, modest monthly returns and consistent risk control beat flash run-ups.
    – Risk & position management: use minimal leverage, control trading frequency, don’t pyramid into losing directions, favor trades that align with daily/weekly range expansion.
    – Focus on process: study market structure, backtest, journal emotional responses (fear/greed), and spend substantial time (recommend ~1–2 years) learning before expecting consistent profits.
    – Competitions cautioned: leaderboard success is often short-lived; avoid getting “drunk” on beating others.

    – Behavior & mindset: Overcome impatience, accept responsibility for mistakes, stop being a perpetual student, and be realistic about expectations.

    – 2023 plans: Live YouTube sessions (brief, event-driven, twice weekly at most), market-over-the-shoulder quizzes, demonstrations of market-maker behavior, and some new tools/demos he’ll reveal (not all will be taught in full detail). Encourages rest over the holidays and returning ready to work in February.

  • Shotgun Saturday With ICT | November 13, 2022

    Summary — ICT Saturday Shotgun

    – Big-picture warning: geopolitical shifts (Saudi alignment with BRICS) threaten the petrodollar’s dominance. That could weaken the U.S. dollar and accelerate a global monetary transition (CBDCs, a potential single reserve currency backed by gold among some nations).

    – Food & water risk: the speaker argues food and water are being “weaponized” (lower crop yields, fertilizer/water restrictions, rising costs). He expects engineered shortages and severe grain rallies in 2023 (corn, soy, wheat, rice) — potentially parabolic moves far exceeding recent commodity rallies.

    – Market implications and strategy shift: because of the above, he’s shifting focus from FX to futures and commodity markets. He believes retail Forex and many crypto plays will be marginalized or banned; by contrast, physical commodities and futures will present the biggest trading opportunities.

    – Practical preparedness advice: stock at least 6 months (ideally longer) of non‑perishable food, water, filters, basic medicines, and household readiness so personal needs won’t impair trading judgment if shortages or price shocks occur.

    – Crypto & social media skepticism: he criticizes crypto as fraught with fraud, exchange failures and hype (cites his son’s losses). Social platforms and payment services are vulnerable to collapse or control; this will accelerate moves toward CBDCs and reduced freedom of information/payment options.

    – Moral perspective: profiting from disasters is uncomfortable but common in speculation; he argues one can ethically use gains to help others (parable of talents).

    – How to trade macro events: don’t trade directly into CPI or FOMC releases. CPI typically causes a straight, violent move; FOMC often shows a two‑stage pattern (initial fake move, then the real directional wave). Wait for post‑release price structure and volume balance to re-establish before trading.

    – Market mechanics emphasis: markets are heavily manipulated. Traders should study how manipulation works (liquidity pools, volume imbalances, fair value gaps). Use one market to specialize in, study correlated pairs for context, and choose strategies that match current market profile (trending, reversing, consolidating).

    – Education/offerings: he references his 2022 mentorship (41 videos) and methods (Enigma, market-maker concepts) as practical training that teaches these market mechanics.

    – Tone & closing: he wants listeners to prepare practically and mentally, hopes to be proven wrong but stresses urgency. He finishes with a short Q&A: pick one market to master; strategies themselves don’t change — market conditions do, so apply the right strategy to the right condition.

    That’s the core of the talk: prepare materially, refocus trading on commodities/futures, respect macro events and market structure, and beware crypto/FX/social platforms as unreliable.

  • ICT CPI Whisperings | November 10, 2022

    Summary of ICT live session (key points)

    – Session purpose: live, interactive tape-reading / market-structure study ahead of a high‑impact CPI release — not a signal service or an invitation to trade live money. ICT repeatedly urged listeners to paper‑trade, record, and journal the experience.

    – Platform/setup: used TradingView split screen — left: US500 (currency.com CFD) hourly; right: ES futures (summer contract) hourly — asking students to match charts and mark key times/candles himself by candle time rather than relying on his chart screenshots.

    – Big caution: do not trade live into CPI (or other FOMC/high‑impact) events. These events move extremely fast, produce heavy slippage, rejected demo fills, and are effectively manipulated — you can be “crushed” if you enter pre‑news. Wait for the market to reveal what it wants to do (recommended safe entry time ~9:45 ET after equities open).

    – Approach for the day: study liquidity and price structure.
    – Identify relative highs/lows, fair value gaps (FVGs), order blocks and true “liquidity voids” (areas where price jumped with no trading in between).
    – Map those zones on multiple timeframes (hourly → 15/5/1/1s) and watch how price interacts with them post‑news.

    – Real‑time outcome and teaching points:
    – He anticipated a move into a nearby FVG and then a drop into sell‑side liquidity, but the CPI caused a rapid rip higher. This illustrated his warning: predictions are fine for study, but trading live is high risk.
    – The market ran into a daily volume‑imbalance zone (~3902–3905 area), then retraced and created short‑term FVGs / order‑block reactions on the 1‑minute and 5‑minute charts. He used these reactions to demonstrate how liquidity and algos reprice markets.

    – Practical trading rules emphasized:
    – Paper‑trade these scenarios to experience order rejection, slippage and emotional response before risking real capital.
    – Don’t chase or buy into one‑sided premium after an explosive move; wait for rebalancing into discount/lower liquidity zones that fit your model.
    – Use clear, specific levels (low/mid/high of FVGs and order blocks, midpoint = mean threshold) rather than vague “supply/demand zones.”
    – Most time is spent waiting — learning to accept missed moves is crucial; impulsive trading destroys accounts.

    – Tools & workflow tips: record sessions (Camtasia recommended), use naked charts with the levels you mapped, work across timeframes but base decisions on the higher‑timeframe context and the live one‑minute / five‑minute reactions.

    – Pedagogy / philosophy: he stresses independence — build your own model, don’t be codependent on mentors or signal sellers. Mastery comes from repeating these live observations over time. He also defends his proprietary language/approach and criticizes simplistic social‑media “equity curve” presentations.

    – Logistics / follow up: he will share charts later, plans more interactive morning sessions in 2023, and reiterated that these live walkthroughs are for learning market behavior, not for immediate live trading instructions.

    Overall takeaway: treat high‑impact news days as study opportunities to map liquidity (FVGs, order blocks, liquidity voids), paper‑trade to feel execution realities, wait for the market to show its hand post‑release, and cultivate an independent, patient trading model to avoid catastrophic losses.

  • 30th Anniversary as ICT | November 6, 2022

    Summary of ICT’s Twitter Space (key points and main ideas):

    – Main theme: trading is mostly a psychological battle. Technical entries and strategies are plentiful, but the real reason many fail is emotional bias, ego, unrealistic expectations, and poor personal habits.

    – Practical trading advice:
    – Give yourself permission to be wrong; losses are inevitable and must be planned for.
    – Cut “dogs” quickly—use strict stop-losses and time-stops (30–60s when a setup isn’t showing speed/distance).
    – Take partials on winners, roll stops to lock profit, don’t overleverage or chase size for image.
    – Focus on small, consistent “bread-and-butter” gains (e.g., low weekly targets like 1–2%) rather than Olympic feats.
    – Journal fears and behaviors, replace negative self-talk over time.

    – On students, mentorship and public image:
    – Many trainees struggle because they prioritize ego, social media image, or try to shortcut the process.
    – Exclusivity (private mentorships, signal services) can be abused; ICT plans to be more public but will avoid undercutting students running paid services.
    – He may run live “Price Action Chronicles” sessions showing market navigation (not issuing buy/sell signals).

    – Personal/psychological counsel:
    – Remove toxic relationships and outside opinions that drain attention and fuel insecurity.
    – Trading behavior often mirrors personal life issues (loneliness, need for approval); fix the root causes.
    – Consistency, discipline and pruning bad habits are what create long-term profitability and wealth.

    – Perspective and resilience:
    – Success takes years; expect hardship, take breaks when needed, but persist and learn from mistakes.
    – ICT shares personal anecdotes (family, early struggles) to underline humility and perseverance.
    – He’s pragmatic about macro risk (prepping, owning real assets) and believes markets will keep running until a full systemic collapse.

    Closing: focus on process, not image; build disciplined habits, manage psychology, protect capital, and pursue small consistent gains to become consistently profitable.

  • Shotgun Saturday: Beneath The Surface | October 15, 2022

    Summary — key points from ICT

    – Opening/setting: ICT ran late due to personal errands (taking dogs out) and uses casual anecdotes to introduce the talk.

    – Liquidity voids explained: A true “liquidity void” is an actual gap (no price data) or micro-gaps inside large imbalance candles. These micro-gaps are visible only on ultra-short, time-based charts (1s, 5s, 15s) and matter for short-term price delivery and stop-run/rebalance moves.

    – Time-based charts defendend: Time (time-of-day) is primary in his algorithmic approach — price delivery is time then price. Time-based charts reveal hidden micro-structure that other chart types (Renko, Heikin-Ashi, range bars) or higher time-frame candles can smooth out.

    – Use of TradingView: He uses TradingView because it offers ultra-short time frames needed to teach and see these micro-fractures.

    – Relationship to Chris Lori: He looked at Lori’s early work and borrowed the term “liquidity void” for clarity with BabyPips users, but he did not learn his trading method from Lori. Their approaches differ substantially; the speaker spent only a short time in Lori’s Pro Traders Club and later advised Lori on course structure.

    – History with BabyPips: He taught freely there, drew a following, sparked jealousy/drama, and left after conflicts; he emphasizes he never worked on their payroll and has always credited influences when appropriate.

    – Teaching ethos and warnings: He’s proud of building precise, algorithmic Smart Money Concepts (SMC). He warns students not to “weaponize” his teachings to bully or troll others online; humility, practice, and real trading performance matter more than online clout.

    – On influencers and fraud: He criticizes shallow/orchestrated online content (demo/rented servers, cherry-picking) and urges verification — he provides live TradingView proof of trading results and is not partnered with brokers or funded-account promoters.

    – Practical trading message: Small, low-risk intraday moves (a few points/handles) are real profit opportunities if you understand liquidity/imbalance. Many people overcomplicate or misapply SMC; learning his core concepts will improve most traders’ edge.

    – Closing: He reiterates he’s focused on students and results, asks the community to stop toxic behavior, and issues a final warning to young SMC practitioners to clean up their act.

  • Volatility Romance | October 14, 2022

    Summary — ICT Twitter Space

    – Market update: ICT describes extremely unusual intraday volatility in the S&P—more extreme than in 30 years—driven by liquidity gaps and rapid moves. He expects continued wild swings into year-end and thinks many retail traders will suffer large losses.

    – Technical read: He expected the daily equal lows to be taken out (target 3570) and saw price hit weekly fair-value gaps (he notes ~3400 remains in play as a possible next leg lower). He warns that the recent dip is not necessarily a lasting bottom and that such moves are often traps used by market makers to harvest liquidity.

    – Trading actions today: He almost took bigger, aggressive positions but resisted, exited with only the trades he showed, and is thankful he avoided overtrading. He reports modest position sizes (largest ~12 contracts) and is satisfied with his monthly result so far.

    – Risk management rule he stresses: after a losing trade, drop risk (e.g., to half) on the next trades until you recoup half the loss; then reset to your prior risk. Repeat scaling down if losses continue. This is to control drawdown and emotional pressure.

    – Psychology and personal disclosure: ICT candidly discusses his own emotional volatility (including bipolar tendencies), how life stress (notably a fraught house purchase) impacted him, and why that made him almost take revenge trades. He strongly advises avoiding the market when emotionally compromised—turn off charts, walk away, and don’t chase feel‑good wins.

    – On other traders/content: He praises honest traders who share struggles (mentions “Corbs”) as valuable learning tools on trader psychology, and criticizes gurus who push quick fixes.

    – Broader views: He warns that crypto/blockchain developments are being repurposed for central bank digital currencies and that individuals cannot “beat” central banking—advice is to align with reality rather than oppose it.

    – Closing: Reiterates caution about upcoming economic prints (mentions 8:30 and 10:00) and encourages disciplined risk control, routine, and self-awareness over impulsive, ego-driven trading.

  • Friday Night ICT & Chill | September 24, 2022

    Summary — key points ICT

    – Recent live trading: ICT recounts several big, profitable live trades this week but says he was blocked from closing positions by his broker (AMP Futures). He says orders were rejected at the CME level and interprets this as intentional interference to prevent large consistent wins.

    – Brokerage criticism and challenge: he strongly criticizes AMP Futures (and FXCM), says he’ll close accounts and leave them, and challenges public critics (named traders/YouTubers) to prove their results by posting one real account number on a public broker leaderboard. He promises to trade one publicly disclosed account (one contract) to settle claims of demo/rented-server fraud.

    – Markets are rigged: he argues markets and brokers actively manipulate retail outcomes when traders become consistently profitable, so traders must accept operating in a constrained, adversarial environment and adapt their approach.

    – Practical trading advice: don’t rely on tiny demo/white‑label MT4 setups or underfunded “cheap” accounts. Be properly funded, trade markets you know (he favors stock-index futures — S&P, Nasdaq, bonds — over thin Forex pairs), and expect occasional technical or institutional resistance.

    – Mentorship and transparency: he stresses he records and publishes live examples and core‑content lessons publicly; he intends to continue releasing guided video content and minute-marked references for students.

    – Personal reflections: he talks at length about family, past marriages, mental health (anxiety, bipolar traits), the importance of removing toxic relationships, and how spousal support helps trading performance.

    – Geopolitical/economic warnings and prepping: he believes we’re approaching major disruptive events (mentions Russia/Iran alliances, potential attack on Israel, broader global instability) and urges listeners to prepare — stockpile food, water, heat sources, generators — because supply, energy and food systems may be stressed, especially in Europe/UK.

    – Views on crypto and other markets: skeptical of Bitcoin/crypto infrastructure, concerned about custody/tax/risk; warns that once futures and institutional control arrive, prices can be manipulated downward.

    – Tone and intent: the speaker is combative and unfiltered, repeatedly calling out opponents and trolls, but frames his anger as frustration at industry hypocrisy. He emphasizes he doesn’t need the money or publicity but wants to protect students and prove his methods.

    – Actionable takeaways: verify live performance (real broker accounts), fund accounts appropriately, prefer liquid, professionally traded markets, prepare personally and materially for systemic disruptions, and be cautious about trusting demo/white‑label performance claims.