Tag: tru

  • Post ICT Trade Review short w CFD | April 28, 2026

    Summary — Trader Round Up with Michael

    – Purpose/tone: Michael hosted an open, collaborative Trader Round Up encouraging inclusivity among trading influencers, humility in teaching, and continuous improvement. He wants dialogue between communities, not toxicity.

    – Market environment: Markets are tougher now with more manipulation and “wick hunts.” That makes trading harder, not impossible — students should learn to navigate modern conditions rather than only studying older, calmer markets.

    – Study guidance: Michael recommends studying his most recent content first (so you learn to trade today’s environment) and then work backwards. He’s published targeted playlists (e.g., “If I were 20…”, other curated playlists) to help new students prioritize material.

    – Core concepts emphasized: read price “breath” (inhalation/exhalation of candles), PD Arrays (price discovery areas), fair value gaps (FVGs), order blocks, rejection/return blocks, SMT (relative strength between correlated indices), opening-range gaps, octants/quadrants and top‑down analysis (monthly → weekly → daily → intraday).

    – Practical trade principles:
    – Use proximity and confluence to choose entries; pyramiding and using higher‑TF structures to refine one‑minute entries are acceptable.
    – Expect to be clipped sometimes — review logic, re‑enter if the setup still holds (don’t “throw the baby out with the bathwater”).
    – Disassociate emotions from chart signatures; focus on measurable signatures, not feelings.
    – Keep a disciplined journal and compare your own progress over time rather than comparing to other traders on social media.

    – Specific technical notes from the session:
    – Use current CFD charts if you can’t trade futures — behavior is broadly comparable for signatures even if individual candlesticks differ.
    – Silver‑bullet refinements and sub‑minute FVG models were discussed as tools for higher‑frequency opportunities.
    – For cluttered overlapping gaps, Michael suggested drawing the highest high and lowest low across the cluster and creating octants/quadrants from that aggregate range to simplify focus.

    – On SMT and intermarket signals: SMT (relative strength across correlated instruments) is useful but not a standalone edge — it must be blended with other logic and context; sometimes apparent SMT signals are “phantoms.”

    – Study/playbook advice: add clear confluences to your model and test them (macros, midnight/6:00 opens, FVGs, order blocks, etc.). Start with one robust model, master it, then explore related patterns you repeatedly see.

    Overall takeaway: trade modern market structure by learning signatures and logic, prioritize recent, real‑time examples, build simple repeatable models with clear confluence, journal progress, and avoid comparing yourself to social media highlights.

    Quiz

    1) According to ICT, what should a new student with limited time study first?
    A. Older market conditions from many years ago
    B. ICT’s most recent material and then work backwards
    C. Only textbook technical analysis (moving averages, crossovers)
    D. Random social media trade highlights

    2) If your stop is clipped by apparent manipulation, what does ICT advise?
    A. Quit trading immediately
    B. Publicly call out market manipulators
    C. Review the trade, admit user error if applicable, and re-enter if the logic still holds
    D. Double your position to recover losses

    3) What is ICT’s stance on using SMT (intermarket relative strength) as a trading signal?
    A. SMT alone is always sufficient to enter trades
    B. SMT alone is never useful in any situation
    C. SMT can be useful but must be blended with additional logic; alone it does not warrant participation
    D. SMT applies only to NASDAQ and not to other instruments

    4) When multiple opening gaps and ranges overlap on a chart, what method does ICT recommend to simplify which levels to focus on?
    A. Plot every single gap and trade all of them equally
    B. Ignore opening gaps and use moving averages
    C. Take the highest high and lowest low of the combined ranges and draw octants/quadrants across that composite range
    D. Only use the 1-minute chart and discard higher-timeframe structure

    5) Regarding trading CFDs versus futures and concerns about missing “real-time” futures data, what does ICT say?
    A. CFDs are unusable; you must trade futures only
    B. Futures always behave identically to CFDs, so no difference matters
    C. CFDs and futures can differ in detail, but if you know what you’re looking for they generally behave very similarly and you can trade the CFD using the same concepts
    D. CFDs always show cleaner price action and should replace futures for all traders

    Answer key with evidence (no timestamps available in transcript):

    1) Correct: B
    Evidence: “I would suggest that they focus on whatever I’ve done most recent and work backwards… I’m teaching now how to navigate with that stuff going on anyway. So there’s no better way of being able to determine whether someone’s worthwhile learning from than seeing them navigate right now the right now market.”

    2) Correct: C
    Evidence: “We don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater. We just see what it was. Okay, they clipped me, but it still looks like it’s going to go. Okay, re-enter and see what happens… There’s no greater boost of confidence than saying, ‘Okay… I got clipped… re-enter and see what happens.’”

    3) Correct: C
    Evidence: “SMT, you in and of itself without any logic added to it, you it doesn’t warrant any participation at all… what you’re identifying, it’s a real phenomenon. But don’t be discouraged if it comes against the one you’re in because it just means that it’s going back to get in sync…”

    4) Correct: C
    Evidence: “What I do… I take the highest high of everything I’m looking at in terms of the range. If it’s new day opening gaps, new week opening gaps… I get the highest high and the lowest low. And I do the octants and quadrants cross that. And that… gives me all the PDAs I would have used anyway but it gives me the furthest extreme all the key levels in between and I’m just going to focus there.”

    5) Correct: C
    Evidence: “There’s going to be a difference in the pricing, but overall if you know what you’re looking for, they’re generally going to behave very very close to one another… find that time candle I’m referring to. Find it on the CFD and it’s going to behave the same way.”

  • Big Short | April 23, 2026

    Summary

    Trader Roundup conversation with Michael

    – Opening: Michael demonstrated an unusual, high-confidence trade and participants reacted to its rarity. There were some tech issues during the session.

    – Core theme: trade selection, context, and discipline matter more than any single indicator. Michael repeatedly stressed that experience, patience, and strict risk rules beat overtrading or “clever” tweaks.

    – 2022 model vs. macro windows: When a clean 2022-model setup conflicts with a key 4‑hour macro imbalance (e.g., 150–210 window), use context: treat the higher‑timeframe imbalance as a strong draw of liquidity. Look for price behavior (rejections, three‑drive patterns, climactic breaks of buy‑side liquidity) before assuming the level will fail or hold.

    – Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & first utilization: the FVG’s first characteristic at formation (close direction, candle structure) matters. First utilization can act as discount/premium or invert; anticipate inversions if a FVG opposes a higher‑timeframe draw. Not every FVG is tradeable — bodies, subsequent candles, and how long price lingers inside the gap determine usefulness.

    – Order blocks / mitigation: when order blocks are breached, they often become mitigation/inversion blocks; smart participants use these to manage positions. Candle bodies and how many candles live inside an imbalance are important tape‑reading clues.

    – Position sizing and pyramiding: trade with one micro (one contract) until you have significant experience. Adding contracts without disciplined rules builds bad habits and psychological scar tissue. Only pyramid after clear, experienced criteria (equity thresholds and model validation).

    – Reading session/time profiles: Michael has detailed time‑based profiles for sessions (Asia, London, New York). Studying day-to-day and session-to-session characteristics helps form expectations for where price will act — but this skill requires extensive study and experience.

    – Managing drawdown and psychology: if you’re bleeding money, stop trading and step away (minimum days). Ground yourself, reduce to one micro, and rebuild discipline. Backtest and collect statistics before risking real capital.

    – Practical chart management: when many PD Arrays/FVGs cluster, simplify — take the extreme high and low of the cluster, grade/quadruple the range and use that hybrid range instead of cluttering charts with overlapping lines.

    – Specific trade-read tips: watch candle bodies for signs of failure or continuation; if price repeatedly spends too much time inside an imbalance (many candles), that FVG is probably not actionable. Use consequent encroachment and lower/high quadrant logic for gauging whether potential lows/highs will hold.

    – End-of-day/opening gaps (ndogs, new‑week/new‑day opening gaps): they’re often revisited — Michael looks back up to ~20 days (longer in calmer markets) for useful gaps and FVGs and integrates them into weekly/daily targets.

    – Teaching approach & community: Michael emphasized core content (months 4, 8, 10 referenced for fair value gaps, profiles, session rules) and encouraged students to study steadily. The community and supporting hosts help manage the sessions and make learning accessible.

    Overall message: learn to read price in context, trade small and disciplined while you build experience, use higher‑timeframe draws and tape‑reading (candlestick bodies, patterns like three‑drives) to validate setups, simplify chart signals when PDAs cluster, and practice patience and strong risk management.

    Quiz

    1. What did Michael recommend newer traders use in the current difficult market environment?

    A. Three micros to accelerate learning
    B. One micro and babysit it to completion
    C. Full size positions with tight stops
    D. No stops, only scaling in

    2. According to Michael, what is the most important thing to know first when using a target or draw?

    A. The exact candle color of the setup
    B. Where price is likely to go next
    C. The news schedule for the week
    D. The highest volume candle on the chart

    3. What did Michael say about adding a second contract?

    A. It should be done whenever confidence feels high
    B. It should only be done after specific equity goals are reached
    C. It should always be done on the first trade of the day
    D. It is required for every inversion setup

    4. What did Michael say about trading after a bad period or drawdown?

    A. Increase leverage to recover quickly
    B. Keep trading to rebuild confidence immediately
    C. Stop trading for a few days and reset
    D. Switch to only one-minute charts permanently

    5. What did Michael say about a fair value gap that has too many candlesticks inside it?

    A. It becomes stronger and more reliable
    B. It should be treated as a valid breaker
    C. It should be abandoned
    D. It always indicates a guaranteed inversion

    Answer Key with Evidence

    1. B
    Evidence: “I think it would better serve you to just do one micro and babysit that thing to completion and get your baseline experience through this difficult market.”

    2. B
    Evidence: “That’s the whole purpose of having first utilization um understood because once you know where you’re likely to draw to…”
    And: “know where it’s going to go to next”

    3. B
    Evidence: “where how you would add a second contract is when you reach specific equity goals.”

    4. C
    Evidence: “the first thing you do is stop trading. You have to give yourself permission to to at least stop for a couple days…”
    And: “minimum three days, preferably a week”

    5. C
    Evidence: “you do not want to see a lot of candlesticks inside of them… you need to abandon that one entirely.”
    And: “it would not suit or serve you well using this for that one.”

  • Post ICT YouTube Review 4/22 | April 22, 2026

    Summary of the conversation

    (Kitt moderating; Michael = “ICT”):

    Context
    – Live Q&A/mentorship session about ICT trading concepts: tape reading, fair value gaps (FVGs), PD arrays, trade management, market structure and mentorship practice.

    Practical trading rules & observations
    – Most meaningful price action occurs in the first hour of regular trading (9:30–10:30 ET). Trade that range and then step aside if needed.
    – For “first-presented” fair value gaps at the top of the hour, Michael prefers waiting for the subsequent candle (e.g., 10:01+) rather than taking the exact top-of-hour candle as the official first FVG.
    – Candles printed inside an inefficiency: historically 2–3 candles was the rule; given recent higher volatility Michael is more forgiving up to ~5 one‑minute candles, but beyond that probabilities shift against the trade.
    – Markets are currently more event-driven and extreme (one‑minute candles can move hundreds of handles). Be selective: reduce size or use more forgiving models/stops, or don’t trade.
    – Avoid chasing multiple models simultaneously; pick the model you’re trading and stick to it (important for execution and teaching clarity).
    – Trailing stops: Michael avoids tight trailing in today’s environment because sudden, extreme spikes can sweep many stops; alternatives are smaller size or using partials and wider stops.
    – When trading CFDs (e.g., US Tech 100) vs Nasdaq futures: futures show the primary price discovery. Use futures levels for precision; if trading CFDs, time entries to the futures moves, accept less precision, use wider stops/targets and appropriate leverage.

    PD arrays, models & pedagogy
    – The Month‑4 PD Array matrix taught earlier has consistent spatial placement (predictive). Newer PD arrays (Ma Deuce/Reaper/Gauntlet/etc.) are standalone methodologies that can form anywhere in the matrix and don’t follow the same hierarchy—treat them as separate complete models.
    – Zircon is described as more of a model blend than a classic PD Array.

    Study, habits and community guidance
    – Best daily habit: top‑down checklist/review of prior expectations, key levels, and “if/then” plans carried from previous sessions; journaling to capture wins, mistakes, and blind spots.
    – Honest journaling exposes what you don’t see in the moment and helps generate specific questions for mentorship.
    – Follow community protocols for posting charts/questions to make sessions efficient and useful for everyone.

    Philosophy & bigger picture
    – Michael asserts markets are heavily managed/manipulated (algos, interventions, extreme liquidity runs). This reality requires different tools and approaches than simple buy/sell pressure assumptions.
    – He’s committed to continuing to release deeper materials and tools despite pushback because he believes traders need these methods to operate in today’s environment.

    Practical takeaways
    – Focus on the first hour, trade what price gives you, use FVG timing rules (prefer 10:01+ at top of hour), be disciplined about candle counts inside inefficiencies, adapt size/stop strategy to elevated volatility, use futures for level precision if possible, and keep a rigorous top‑down checklist and journal.

    Quiz

    1. According to ICT, what trading approach should take priority when deciding whether to enter a trade?
    A. Always follow your original bias no matter what
    B. Trade only the opening bell direction
    C. Whatever price is giving you at the time
    D. Trade only after the market closes

    2. What did ICT say about the first hour of trading?
    A. It is usually too noisy to trade
    B. It contains the majority of the day’s trading and can be enough by itself
    C. It only matters for futures, not CFDs
    D. It should be ignored after 9:45 AM

    3. When discussing the Silver Bullet, what did ICT say about the first fair value gap after 10:00 AM?
    A. Use the exact 10:00 AM candle if it forms the gap
    B. Wait for a candle after 10:00 AM, such as 10:01 or later
    C. Only use the 11:00 AM candle
    D. Never use fair value gaps after the top of the hour

    4. What did ICT say about trading CFDs versus NASDAQ futures?
    A. CFDs are always more accurate than futures
    B. The CFD and futures levels will always match exactly
    C. Use the futures market levels as the main reference, then execute in the CFD with a forgiving stop
    D. Ignore the futures market completely when trading CFDs

    5. What daily habit did ICT say had the biggest impact on his consistency?
    A. Only trading one setup per week
    B. Journaling and doing a top-down checklist of expectations and what price has done
    C. Watching only one timeframe all day
    D. Removing all chart annotations every morning

    Answer Key

    1. C
    Evidence: “Whatever’s in the chart at the time trumps anything else.” and “Whatever’s in the chart at the time trumps anything else. Like it’s, it’s event driven now.” Also: “I don’t care if it goes up a thousand handles from here. It’s, it’s a trade I would never, ever take, I would never take that.”

    2. B
    Evidence: “majority of the trading has been done in that first hour trading.” and “if you just engage only in that first 60 minutes, it’s enough, move to the sidelines and let ’em do whatever they wanna do with the market after that.”

    3. B
    Evidence: “I want a subsequent candle after 10 o’clock. So 10 0 1 or thereafter. I’m looking for the very first one to form.”

    4. C
    Evidence: “I would put more credence on the levels that’s seen in the NASDAQ futurist market, because that’s the real information.” and “I would then, at the moment, it touches those levels in the futures market, I would just simply execute at market what I was expected to see in the delivery on the CFD.”

    5. B
    Evidence: “Going through a top down check of, uh, the things I had listed the last time I looked at the chart and my expectation and the things I would anticipate” and “It’s a matter of knowing what I’m looking for, what price should and should not do because of the experience that you gain by doing all this stuff and adhering to that.”

  • TRU – ICT Post Livestream 4/17 | April 16, 2026

    Summary:

    This is a trading-focused livestream Q&A with Michael (ICT) and community members. Key themes:

    Teaching approach
    – Michael aims lessons at novices (about a four-week practice baseline), intentionally simplifying entries so new traders can build a repeatable sample set before adding advanced tools.
    – He balances demonstrating live execution with teaching fundamentals so students can study and later layer on higher-level concepts.

    Core technical ideas explained
    – Fair value gaps (FVGs), inversion FVGs, consequent encroachment (midpoint of prominent wicks), and the use of wicks as short-term resistance/support were discussed as decision points for bias and entries.
    – Opening range gaps, standard‑deviation targets, graded consecutive imbalances, suspension blocks, and how to run/draw ranges across multiple consecutive FVGs were covered as practical frameworks.
    – Time‑distortion (chop/noise) vs. consolidation/accumulation: resolve by moving up a timeframe; look for a clear structure (e.g., a prominent wick or imbalance) to indicate likely direction.

    High-frequency / timing
    – Michael described recurring market‑maker buy/sell models roughly every 15 minutes and said sub‑minute study is required to recognize and apply them; they’re present but require deliberate, live observation to learn.

    Practice and execution advice
    – No shortcuts: watch candles form live (market replay is insufficient), record sessions, and spend weeks collecting real examples.
    – Manage emotions: step away or lock yourself out after emotional trades; do not chase revenge trades—better to walk away.
    – Live streaming adds pressure and complexity; it’s okay to disengage when your focus or mindset is compromised.

    Community, requests, and next steps
    – Students (doctors, lawyers, engineers, young traders) praised the streams and urged deeper lessons on the “silver‑bullet” volume‑imbalance fractal; Michael offered to teach it if there’s demand.
    – Several students shared progress (funded accounts, recovered drawdowns), reinforcing discipline and study as keys to improvement.

    Quiz

    1.What did ICT say new students should do for the first four weeks?
    A. Trade only the opening range gap
    B. Randomly take every fair value gap and short-term run on liquidity
    C. Only use Fibonacci retracements
    D. Focus only on weekly highs

    2. According to ICT, how often does the market maker buy/sell model appear?
    A. Every hour
    B. Every 30 minutes
    C. Every 15 minutes
    D. Only at the open

    3. How did ICT describe time distortion
    A. A strong trending market
    B. A type of news event
    C. Chop or noise, clarified by going up in time frame
    D. A gap that must always be filled immediately

    4. What did ICT say about the best response when price action looks muddy inside the opening range
    A. Trade more aggressively
    B. Wait for a breakout candle
    C. Step back and avoid trading
    D. Buy the first wick low

    Answer Key with Evidence

    1. B — ICT said: “I’m not gonna do a four-week session of just going out here and just randomly taking every fair value gap and short-term run on liquidity. That’s what a brand-new student’s supposed to do.”
    Evidence: [00:01:30]–[00:02:00]

    2. C — ICT said: “Because I told you it’s there… Every fifteen minutes, it’s going to be there.”
    Evidence:[00:06:00]–[00:06:30]

    3. C — ICT said: “Time distortion is basically what everybody else is gonna call chop or noise.”
    Evidence: [00:47:33]–[00:48:00]

    4. C — ICT said: “The easiest thing for you to do is take a step back and say, ‘I’m not touching it right now.’”
    Evidence: [01:00:00]–[01:00:30]

    5. C — ICT said: “If you wanna compare and contrast notes with live trading, I’m all for it. But if you wanna make it a pissing contest and dick measuring contest, then we’ll go… I’m not hiding from anybody.” He also said drama marketing should go away.
    Evidence: [01:16:00]–[01:19:30]

  • Trader Round Up – ICT Post livestream | April 15, 2026

    Summary — Trader Roundup live stream (participants: Kitt, ICT/Michael, students)

    – Purpose/context: Community recap of Michael’s live-stream tape‑reading drills and Q&A. Hosts emphasized the “lab/college” mindset — short, repeated practice to build real experience and desensitize emotion.

    – Daily drill recommendation: Use the 1‑minute timeframe for short drills (15 minutes/day), aim for small moves (10–15 handles) to learn price signatures without large P&L consequences. Record charts/audio, log time in trade, drawdown, emotions, and lessons.

    – Core trading foundations: Focus on the four elements of a trade setup (money management, entry trigger, draw/target, and context). Month 1–2 core content is essential; month 4/5+ adds advanced precision but isn’t strictly required to be profitable.

    – Timeframes and distortion: If 1‑minute looks “fuzzy,” back out to higher timeframes (5/10/15 min or 15‑sec when needed) to remove time distortion and clarify bias. Stack timeframes fractally.

    – Market‑maker models / orderflow: Demonstrated market‑maker buy/sell models across 15‑minute intervals (including 15‑second reads). Key concepts: liquidity runs, inefficiencies, fair value gaps, order blocks, volume imbalances, relative equal highs/lows, WIC/WIX signatures, range projections and “six sister” market correlations (MES, MNQ, NQ).

    – Specific tactics taught: look for rangers/liquidity inefficiencies on micro timeframes; use inversion/reclaim, opening range gap and midpoint logic, quadrant/sixteenth grading of ranges, and recognize turtle‑soup false‑breakout setups. Grade ranges/gaps — importance if anchored to gradient levels.

    – Session/time‑based ranges: Always use the first 30 minutes (opening) as baseline; the first‑hour dealing range is useful while price remains near it and for intraday projections (including Asian, lunch, PM windows). Lunch/macro times often feature time distortion and retracements that can set up continuation or reversal.

    – Instruments: Use whichever contract (mini/micro/futures) shows the actionable signature; CFDs can mirror futures’ candles but may differ in price — translate logic by candlestick structure.

    – Journaling & pattern recognition: Take screenshots and notes; repeated review reveals time‑scheduled spooling (e.g., macro times like 9:50–10:10, lunchtime, PM session). Experience and disciplined recordkeeping are central to developing a reliable model.

    – Macro perspective: Michael and community discussed liquidity/QE and money printing driving asset inflation; warnings about broader economic risk (inflation, supply issues) and implications for markets.

    – Community & next steps: Mentorship content being refined; participants encouraged to revisit core content, practice daily in the “lab,” and build models incrementally.

    Quiz

    1. What did ICT say should be the focus when looking at the market on a very short timeframe during drills?
    A. Predicting earnings reports
    B. Looking for sub-one-minute low-hanging fruit like 10 to 15 handles, ranges, liquidity, and inefficiencies
    C. Trading only the daily chart
    D. Avoiding all chart analysis until the close

    2. What did ICT say about the first 30 minutes of the trading day?
    A. It should never be used for analysis
    B. It is always a given and should always be used
    C. It is only useful after noon
    D. It matters only on consolidation days

    3. When describing time distortion, what did ICT recommend doing if a lower timeframe chart looks fuzzy or unclear?
    A. Trade more aggressively
    B. Delete the chart and start over
    C. Go up in timeframes to remove the distortion and bring price back into focus
    D. Ignore price action and wait for the weekly close

    Answer Key with Evidence:

    1. B — Evidence: ICT said they were “just looking for inefficiencies to act on liquidity” and earlier the discussion highlighted “10 to 15 handles” and “sub one minute low hanging fruit.” [00:22:07-00:22:10], [00:02:30-00:03:00]

    2. B — Evidence: “Well, every day you use the first 30 minutes. That’s always, always a given. That’s gonna happen all the time.” [00:39:14-00:39:30]

    3. C — Evidence: “If you go up to a 10 minute… you’ll see that it’s absolutely 100% crystal clear… you wanna back it out.” Also: “go up in timeframes and it’ll remove it.” [00:26:26-00:26:30], [00:28:00-00:28:28]

  • TRU ICT – Post YouTube Livestream | April 13, 2026


    Summary — Trader Roundup with Michael (ICT)

    – Main focus: tape reading and simple, repeatable price-action models. Michael emphasized stripping analysis down to essentials (especially two primary gaps: the new-week open gap and the RTH opening-range gap) so traders can read candlesticks and market signatures in real time without overloading their setup.

    – Practical guidance: don’t abandon a working model. Learn additional concepts as side projects, but avoid continually tinkering with a model that is already profitable.

    – Key signatures and tactics discussed:
    – Anticipatory tape-reading cues (Canary-in-the-coal-mine analogy).
    – Inversion entries, fair-value gaps (FVGs), order blocks and “turtle soup” setups.
    – The importance of bodies vs. wicks (e.g., a lower body close can define a lower low even if a wick is lower).
    – Aggressive break of a nearby low often signals a hunt for opposing liquidity (stop-hunt behavior).

    – Market structure and participants: Michael clarified “retail” versus “smart money” — most participants (including big funds using retail logic) are not smart money. Algorithms and coordinated liquidity runs (stop hunts, engineered gaps) are real and must be read, not debated.

    – Multi-timeframe and PD array use:
    – Multi-timeframe confluence is useful but not inherently more “magical”; use PD arrays and key levels as actionable reference points.
    – Look for multiple PD arrays/defensive layers (three levels of defense is a useful rule of thumb).
    – Midpoints between PDAs often act as responsive areas; cascading/connecting PDAs as ranges evolve is valid.

    – Learning strategy: use lower timeframes (sub‑1-minute) for practice and pattern repetition to build confidence. Focus equally on learning what setups fail (to avoid them) as on what works.

    – Psychology & narrative: frame a market narrative in advance, watch how price action changes it, and be prepared to adapt. Example pre-market takeaway: large gap risk can spook bulls and inspire bears; manipulated moves can be used to seize liquidity before a directional run.

    – Final takeaway: read price first, apply a small set of reliable tools, practice tape reading to build confidence, and use disciplined entry/stop structure rather than chasing many disparate signals.

    Quiz

    1. According to ICT, what is the best way to use a model when it is already working for you?
    A. Add more indicators until it becomes more complex
    B. Change it every time a new concept is taught
    C. Stay with it and do not tinker with it
    D. Replace it with a completely different model

    2. What did ICT say about “retail” and “smart money”?
    A. Retail traders are the only liquidity that matters
    B. Institutional trading is retail, and smart money targets bigger liquidity than retail
    C. Smart money and retail are the same thing
    D. Only bank traders can be considered smart money

    3. What did ICT say about a fair value gap when price uses the wick but does not violate the body?
    A. It should always be ignored
    B. The fair value gap remains valid if the body is not violated
    C. It automatically becomes invalid
    D. It must always be reversed immediately

    4. In response to the question about multiple timeframes showing the same wick, what did ICT say about its importance?
    A. It is always a stronger signal and higher probability
    B. It only matters on hourly charts
    C. It does not bring greater importance by itself; it is a natural order of timeframes
    D. It is only useful if the wick appears on three or more timeframes

    5. What did ICT say about using multiple P.D. arrays behind a trade?
    A. You should always use only one P.D. array
    B. You should use prior P.D. arrays as a “three levels of defense” behind the trade
    C. P.D. arrays should never be used for trade protection
    D. Only the most recent candle matters, not prior structure

    Answer Key with Evidence:

    1. C — “If you have a model that’s working for you, try to not to tinker with it… don’t tinker with your model. Just keep it the way it is.” [00:15:00–00:16:00]

    2. B — “They’re looking for the opportunity to cannibalize the fucking whales, the biggest portion of liquidity… If you’re not them, you’re […] retail.” [00:40:30–00:43:00]

    3. B — “The wick is allowed to do that… That fair value gap did not get violated.” [00:19:00–00:20:00]

    4. C — “I personally don’t ascribe a lot more credence to it because it’s on multiple timeframes, because what you’re describing is a natural order of things with timeframes.” [00:35:08–00:35:35]

    5. B — “The key level has to be associated with these gradient walls… you have to have three P.D. arrays from where price is right now… you have to have three levels of your defense.” [00:56:26–00:57:00]

  • Trader Round Up – Post ICT Livestream | April 10, 2023

    Summary — Trader Roundup (post-ICT livestream)

    – Market context: ICT described the session as “decoupled” and congested — messy price action with low-probability setups, driven by news/CPI and pre-news positioning. Clean, high-probability runs were rare; targets could still be hit but holding trades was harder.
    – Primary trading guidance: avoid trading when the market is decoupled. Favor restraint, smaller size, clearer confluences, and defined risk rather than chasing or forcing trades.
    – Timing and news: expect increased pre-news animation/positioning; sometimes the real move happens before official releases. Adapt by lowering leverage, front-running cautiously with tighter rules, or waiting until the environment becomes clearer.
    – Tools and concepts referenced: RTH opening-range gap, CPI lows, fair value gaps, opening range, “midnight,” Octa/event-horizon and subdividing (e.g., 16ths), average ranges — use multiple confluences before engaging.
    – Psychology and risk management: frustration and “missing moves” are common — they create tilt and revenge trading. ICT emphasized journaling, positive self-talk, protocols, and treating mistakes as data/trial-and-error rather than failure.
    – Community takeaways: several traders shared similar frustrations; many are adapting their models, backtesting in current conditions, and exploring refinements (event horizon + Octa, 16ths, tape reading).
    – Broader advice: there are no shortcuts — build experience slowly, accept variability between market regimes, and prioritize sustainable money management over social-media clout or trying to impress others.
    – Logistics: technical issues cut the session short; group planned a follow-up trade roundup later in the day.

    Key takeaway: recognize when markets are unfavorable, protect capital with disciplined risk rules and journaling, and adapt models thoughtfully rather than forcing trades.

    Quiz

    1) What did ICT say is the best response to a difficult, decoupled market day?
    A. Trade more aggressively to force a win
    B. Avoid it and wait for cleaner conditions
    C. Increase leverage to catch the move
    D. Only trade after every news release

    2) According to ICT, what is one of the biggest dangers for new traders on days like this?
    A. Making too many journal entries
    B. Feeling frustrated and entering tilt
    C. Using too many indicators
    D. Trading only during the open

    3) What did ICT say about trading before major news events in the current environment?
    A. Never trade before news under any circumstance
    B. Only trade after the news settles for an hour
    C. Sometimes price runs before the news because positioning happens ahead of it
    D. News has no effect on price

    4) What did ICT recommend traders do if market conditions make their usual setup less reliable?
    A. Abandon all models permanently
    B. Trade less leverage and adapt
    C. Double position size to compensate
    D. Ignore risk and chase the move

    5) What did ICT say about journaling?
    A. It is optional once you become profitable
    B. It is only useful for beginners
    C. It is the central point of navigation
    D. It should only record winning trades

    Answer key

    1. B Evidence: [00:04:00]-[00:04:30] “I’m not touching it. I don’t want anything to do with it… this is the market that’s saying, nah, not today.”
    2. B Evidence: [00:13:00]-[00:14:00] “that’s what causes tilt… you get so caught up in the emotion… and you go back and forth… all of a sudden you, your, your account’s blown.”
    3. C Evidence: [00:30:30]-[00:32:00] “you’ll also see less follow through after the news comes in because they’re positioning before the news.”
    4. C Evidence: [00:32:00]-[00:33:30] “you’re gonna have to adapt. That means trade less leverage.”
    5. C Evidence: [00:36:57]-[00:39:30] “the journaling is, that’s the, that’s the whole central tenet to doing it because that’s navigation… your journal is the central point of navigation.”
  • TRU – ICT 4/8 Livestream Follow Through | April 8, 2026

    Summary:

    – Event horizon / Octa: Michael taught using an event horizon located between the lower cell side and the low of the daily suspension block. Bodies not touching an event horizon (or Octa) is an algorithmic signature; if price then goes above the consequent encroachment (CE) of a premium wick, close the position.

    – Daily suspension block behavior: If price exits the suspension block downward, any retracement must remain below the block’s lower quadrant to remain bearish; a retracement above the lower quadrant suggests a likely move to intraday highs.

    – First-presented fair value gap (FPFVG) and entries: FPFVGs can be used as inversion entries—wait for price to clear the old high/low, then enter from the consequent encroachment to the gap low (or equivalent structure). Lower timeframes can provide more precise entry/fair-value-gap structure when needed.

    – Volume imbalances / suspension blocks:
    High-timeframe volume imbalances and suspension blocks are important PD arrays in 2025–26; analyze them on the continuous contract so rollovers and gaps remain visible.
    – Regular trading hours (RTH) vs electronic hours (ETH): The algorithm “redelivers” inefficiencies seen overnight into RTH. Neither is inherently greater; use them together (ETH shows continuous structure that RTH revisits).

    – Tape reading & practice plan: Learn to draw likely direction, watch open/high/low/close in real time (avoid market replay). If you can’t watch live, record sessions (OBS recommended) and review. Do at least 6–8 weeks of focused live tape reading, then 6–8 weeks of paper trading.

    – Journaling & psychology: Keep private journals tracking concrete KPIs (e.g., how specific setups perform at specific times), contract sizes that make you nervous, and the internal voice. Awareness and control of emotion improves trading.

    – Risk management and market environment guidance: Given current extreme volatility and manipulation, return to basics—lower leverage, smaller goals (single high-probability moves), and preserve capital rather than chasing big windfalls. Be nimble: close trades when your pre-defined market-signature conditions change. – Instruments caution: Michael advised caution on gold (and similar highly manipulated instruments); many students are recommended to avoid it given current conditions.

    – Community / session conduct: Michael asked listeners to provide concise, structured feedback about what they observed in price action (so he can build models). He requested less chit-chat and more focused answers to make sessions efficient and more useful to everyone. Overall takeaways: focus on simple, repeatable PD arrays (suspension blocks, volume imbalances, FPFVGs, quadrants/octas), practice disciplined tape-reading and journaling, use ETH and RTH in combination, manage risk tightly in the current volatile market, and contribute concise, structured feedback in live sessions

    Quiz

    .1) What did ICT say about the relationship between regular trading hours and electronic trading hours?
    A. Regular trading hours are greater than electronic trading hours
    B. Electronic trading hours are greater than regular trading hours
    C. They work together, and one is not greater than the other
    D. They should never be used together

    2) According to ICT, what should traders do in the current high-volatility market?
    A. Use the most aggressive leverage possible
    B. Focus on simplicity, lower leverage, and basic trading
    C. Hold for the daily high and low every day
    D. Trade for long periods until a full move completes

    3) When ICT discussed the wick near the consequent encroachment, why did he say he chose that wick?
    A. It was the highest wick in the session
    B. It was the lowest wick in that price run ahead of his target
    C. It was the first wick of the opening range gap
    D. It was the wick with the biggest volume imbalance

    4) What did ICT say about the first presented fair value gap in today’s market conditions?
    A. It should always be traded with full size
    B. It only works on gold
    C. It is a useful tool, but precision is harder right now because of volatility
    D. It should be ignored in all cases

    5) What did ICT say about trading gold? A. Gold is the best instrument to trade right now
    B. He recommends everyone trade gold for volatility
    C. He does not think anyone should be trading gold right now
    D. Gold is only good for swing trading, not intraday trading

    Answer key:

    1) C Evidence: “[26:18] ICT: The emphasis is on redelivery and redelivery is accomplished in regular trading hours… whatever inefficiencies or P.D arrays exist in electronic trading hours… it’s a dance between the two… One’s not greater than the other.”

    2) B Evidence: “[01:10:10] ICT: …just going back to the, the lowest of required elements to a trade and lower leverage… “ and “[01:11:05] ICT: …I’m proud of it… It’s giving you the inspiration to think pres preservation, not capital increasement.”

    3) B Evidence: “[01:30:00] ICT: The wick I chose because it was the lowest one in that price run ahead of my target.”

    4) C Evidence: “[01:46:27] ICT: I’m not demanding that level of precision right now… there’s a lot of chaff in the marketplace.”

    5) C Evidence: “[01:16:12] ICT: …I would personally not touch this market.” and “[01:16:30] ICT: …I don’t think any of you should be trading gold…”

  • Trader Round Up – ICT Livestream Tape Read Follow Through | April 07, 2026

    Summary:

    A live trading mentorship session led by Michael (ICT) with host Kitt and several students asking questions and sharing observations. The focus was on tape reading, intraday models, and trader psychology.

    – Core trading guidance:
    – Tape reading and observing live price action are essential. Michael repeatedly recommends spending weeks/months just watching price (no trading) to build pattern recognition and emotional resilience.
    – Emphasize the first 30 minutes of the regular session (two 15‑minute intervals/opening range) as high‑value for finding expansions and trade opportunities.
    – Toggle the settlement/contract view on/off to find which setting reveals the most recent volume imbalances — use the setting that shows the relevant inefficiency.
    – Fair value gaps: only treat a fair value gap as valid after the candle that forms it closes; the gap’s presence before a high/low is the important signal.
    – Top‑down analysis is recommended (monthly → weekly → daily → shorter TFs), but most actionable intraday work can be done inside 15‑minute and lower timeframes. Lower TFs provide many practice opportunities but require faster decision-making.

    – Risk & execution advice:
    – In current elevated/uncertain markets, dial back trading frequency and leverage; adapt to greater volatility and potential manipulation.
    – Recommended progression: ~2 months of focused tape reading, then ~2 months of demo trading before taking live trades. – Favor process over money: disassociate trades from dollar outcomes, focus on consistent inputs and simple rules.

    – Psychology, consistency & journaling:
    – Patience, rule-following, and consistent daily practice are key. Many traders fail by rushing for profits, trading with emotion, or skipping deliberate observation.
    – Journal feelings and decisions; analyze emotional triggers (fear, greed, pride) to avoid repeating harmful behavior.
    – Progress over perfection — small consistent gains compound; avoid hunting for single big wins.

    – Personal reflections:
    – Michael shared candid life lessons about money, relationships, and how monetary success can distort self‑worth and attract/enable toxic dynamics. He stresses safeguarding personal values and choosing relationships not based on wealth.
    – Other students shared real examples of drawdowns and recovery, reinforcing the need to slow down, return to core protocols, and rebuild discipline.

    – Practical takeaway: simplify the workflow (top‑down to identify barriers, then focus on the opening range/first 30 minutes and tape reading), prioritize non‑monetized learning first, journal, and cultivate patience and consistent habits before increasing risk.

    Quiz

    1) According to ICT, what is the main reason he toggles the chart setting on and off when looking at continuous contracts?
    – A. To hide expired contract data from students – B. To find the setting that shows the most recent volume imbalance
    – C. To reduce chart clutter for presentation
    – D. To compare daily and weekly moving averages

    2) What did ICT say is the best way to learn before taking live trades?
    – A. Jump straight into live trading with small size
    – B. Spend at least a month tape reading, then two months demo trading
    – C. Use market replay until you can predict every candle
    – D. Trade only during news events to gain experience quickly

    3) When discussing fair value gaps, what did ICT say matters most? – A. The gap must appear after the high is taken
    – B. Candle three must close to confirm the fair value gap
    – C. The gap must be on a weekly chart to be valid
    – D. Only wick-to-wick gaps count, not body gaps

    4) What did ICT say about lower timeframes versus higher timeframes?
    – A. Lower timeframes always move faster in price – B. Higher timeframes are the only valid way to trade
    – C. Lower timeframes require more decisions and adjustment, but are useful for learning
    – D. Lower timeframes should never be used by new traders

    5) What advice did ICT give about relationships and money?
    – A. Money should always be shared immediately to prove trust
    – B. You should use money to test whether someone really loves you
    – C. You cannot buy love or pay for friendship
    – D. Being wealthy guarantees healthier relationships

    Answer Key:

    1) B Evidence: “I’m looking for those volume imbalances… What I’m looking for is the one setting that has the volume imbalance is showing in most recent price action.” [00:13:00-00:14:00]
    2) B Evidence: “For at least a month minimum. But I think two months is, is appropriate. Not even trying to take a demo account… Then you gotta do about two months of demo trading…” [00:39:36-00:40:30]
    3) B Evidence: “Candle three has to close for you to have the fair value gap there.” [00:16:38-00:17:00]
    4) C Evidence: “The lower the timeframe, the more requirement for you to make decisions and, and move and, and adjust.” [01:06:43-01:07:30]
    5) C Evidence: “You can’t pay for friendship and you can’t buy love.” [01:37:00-01:37:30]

  • Trader Round Up – It’s Friday | March 27, 2026

    Summary:

    The discussion focused on trading psychology, community behavior, and risk management. A debate began over whether experienced traders should be told to “dream small,” with one speaker arguing that advanced traders should aim higher, while beginners need simpler goals.

    The conversation then shifted to whether drama among traders and influencers is harmful or simply part of a competitive industry; the main takeaway was that competition is fine, but mob mentality, harassment, and threats are dangerous and should be avoided.

    Multiple traders shared personal experiences about the emotional challenge of becoming consistently profitable. They stressed that the real difficulty is not finding an edge, but managing yourself, simplifying your process, keeping risk under control, and handling the pressure that comes with success.

    Several speakers emphasized journaling, self-reflection, patience, and focusing on controllable factors rather than social media noise.

    ICT also warned strongly against toxic online behavior, noting that influencer drama can escalate into real-world threats and harm. He encouraged students to avoid divisive behavior, stay focused on trading, and treat the market with discipline and simplicity.

    The session ended with mutual support, gratitude, and encouragement to keep growing personally and professionally.