Market Review Cliff ::Notes Edition:: | February 23, 2023

Summary:

– Technical problem: The speaker lost live-stream audio during the euro/dollar segment and plans a follow-up recap (Shotgun Saturday) to cover missed one-liners and analysis.

– Euro/dollar / Forex analysis: Emphasized the London and New York “killzone” behavior, a bearish breaker and a “Judas swing” that purged buy-side liquidity. Using a Fibonacci/standard-deviation method (SD -3) identifies expected daily lows; when those time and price references align (e.g., London close and SD target) the daily range is effectively formed.

– Stock-index (E-mini S&P) analysis: Discussed fair value gaps, consequent encroachments, and intraday setups. Described a 1-minute / 15-minute / hourly template and how he used it live to call price behavior around the NY open (9:30), including a Judas swing, divergence between S&P/NDX, and a subsequent sell program. Walked through coaching his son live and execution/management lessons.

– Trading process & setups: Teaches specific, repeatable setups (fair value gaps, order blocks, breakers, liquidity hunts). Advocates simple, repeatable rules: small positional sizing (one contract), tight risk (five-handle stop), trade the pattern that repeats daily rather than chasing large random runs.

– Tools and pedagogy: Uses TradingView for shared charts but cautions about its lag and refuses to rely on indicator automation for everything — he draws and filters levels manually. Encourages students to study prerecorded core content and practice tape reading before risking live funds.

– Demo vs live trading: Defends teaching in demo/paper accounts as the right way to learn price structure unemotionally. Warns that trading live too early brings outcome anxiety and ruins discipline; recommends mastering setups in demo/micros first and proper money management.

– Market thesis: Argues markets are largely algorithmic/scripted—price is referred back to known levels and time windows (not purely random). Claims this explains recurring intraday patterns and precise deliveries to ticks; criticizes most retail indicators and popular “pattern” methods as misleading.

– Criticism of industry/competitors: Dismisses many retail methods, indicator packages, and self-styled “market makers” as misunderstanding how price is delivered. Emphasizes evidence he provides by calling moves live and teaching students who reproduce results.

– Practical advice & opportunity: Emphasizes building the skill set (tape reading, pattern recognition, risk control) rather than chasing gimmicks; suggests a realistic path to consistent returns by harvesting repeatable small wins and scaling only when disciplined.

– Macro/personal warnings: Offers strong, personal views on geopolitical/financial risks — skepticism about crypto as an escape, concerns about Central Bank Digital Currencies and loss of privacy/control, and warnings of supply-chain and societal stress. Advises preparing household essentials (food, water, meds) and practical readiness.

– Personal/contextual notes: The speaker is fatigued but committed to transparency; shares anecdotes about coaching his son, family, sleep habits, past calls (Bitcoin), and the intensity of his live teaching approach. He invites students to commit to a year of focused study and promises repeated, demonstrable evidence.

Overall message: Focus on learning repeatable, evidence-backed market structures and risk management (demo-first, small size, tight stops). Markets show recurring, algorithm-driven patterns he teaches and proves live; mastering these can create consistent, scalable results — even amid larger macro uncertainty, where personal preparedness matters.

Quiz

1) What did ICT say about the purpose of the new week opening gap?
A. It acts as a random chart drawing
B. It is used to inspire large fund sentiment and fair value
C. It only matters on weekly options
D. It is unrelated to liquidity

2) What stop-loss size did ICT repeatedly recommend for the setup he described?
A. 1 handle
B. 3 handles
C. 5 handles
D. 10 handles

Answer Key:

1) B Evidence: “it is utilized to inspire large fund sentiment… it’s going back to these levels because it is utilized to inspire large fund sentiment” (0:18:00–0:18:25)
2) C Evidence: “you have to use a stop loss that’s no larger than five handles” (1:52:00–1:52:03)

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