The Culling… | March 10, 2023

Summary — key points and takeaways

– Context: Mentor’s weekly talk about trading, market events, and mindset following a volatile week (non-farm payrolls and a major bank failure).

– Macro risk warning: Recent bank trouble highlights real counterparty and liquidity risks (FDIC limits/delays). Expect market turmoil, potential bank runs, capital controls and accelerating moves toward central bank digital currencies — prepare accordingly.

– Trade timing: Avoid or be extremely cautious trading around high‑impact events (NFP, FOMC, CPI). Thursdays/Fridays and payroll weeks can be disrupted by human intervention; the first 30 minutes of the session often set critical levels.

– Skill building over shortcuts: Learn to read price, market structure, gaps and fair value gaps. Practice incrementally (journal, backtest, demo) until you can execute consistently.

– Process and risk management: Treat trading like a business — a repeatable process, disciplined risk and money management, modest daily objectives (e.g., “five handles” in the ES) rather than seeking big, emotional wins.

– Psychology is central: Replace negative self-talk with constructive affirmations; guard against FOMO, overconfidence, and emotionally charged trading. Losses are normal — how you respond (stop, journal, reinforce discipline) matters.

– Practical training plan: Use demo/paper trading and repeated baseline exercises (drawdown then recover) to build experience and emotional resilience before using live capital.

– Opportunity in adversity: Difficult markets will “cull” uninformed retail traders; those who train now can create a reliable secondary income or full replacement income and help others.

– Community and mentoring: The speaker values student progress, live examples, interviews with real traders, and encourages active participation (chart screenshots, journaling) rather than passive consumption.

– Tone and encouragement: Progress is incremental and sometimes boring — consistency beats excitement. Show up, do the work, and you’ll be prepared when market stress increases.

Quiz

1. According to ICT, what is one reason he avoids trading on Thursday and Friday during non-farm payroll week?
A. Prices never move on those days
B. There is too much intervention and disruption
C. The market is closed
D. He prefers only weekend trading

2. What does ICT say is the main goal of learning to trade?
A. To buy luxury cars
B. To impress other traders
C. To prepare yourself to live a better life and build another income stream
D. To avoid all losses forever

3. What does ICT say a winning trade should feel like?
A. A life-changing event
B. A participation award, nothing to emotionally charge
C. A reason to increase risk immediately
D. Proof that you should stop learning

4. What does ICT say you should do if you have a losing trade and feel emotional?
A. Double down right away
B. Post about it on social media
C. Stop trading, exercise discipline, and reset with positive self-talk
D. Ignore it and keep trading the same size

5. According to ICT, what is the “superpower” traders are developing?
A. Predicting the news
B. Writing your own checks and controlling your own income
C. Never needing to study charts again
D. Finding the perfect indicator

Answer Key with Evidence

1. B. There is too much intervention and disruption
Evidence: “I don’t like to trade on Thursday and I don’t like to trade on the Friday” and “there’s too much intervention there’s too much hand in the in the cookie jar moving things around” (around 0:01:02 to 0:34:48)

2. C. To prepare yourself to live a better life and build another income stream
Evidence: “why are you learning how to do this trading thing to prepare yourself to live a better life” and “to potentially Harvest a potential secondary income” (around 0:03:00 to 0:05:00)

3. B. A participation award, nothing to emotionally charge
Evidence: “every one of your trades you win needs to be simply that it’s a participation award” and “you do not champion a winning trade” (around 1:26:23 to 1:27:17)

4. C. Stop trading, exercise discipline, and reset with positive self-talk
Evidence: “I’m going to stop here and before I lose control of myself I’m going to exercise discipline” and “replace it with something positive” (around 1:02:06 to 1:02:53)

5. B. Writing your own checks and controlling your own income
Evidence: “what’s the superpower by the way what is this superpower the ability to write your own checks” (around 0:27:53 to 0:28:02)

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