This was a market-focused live commentary. Main points:
– Dollar index: currently consolidating. ICT is short-term bullish as long as the “suspension block” (key support/volume-imbalance area) holds; a break below it would invalidate that view and point lower.
– Euro: stuck in a tight range and struggling; bodies remaining in the lower half would favor a move toward prior lows. Pound: showing stronger downside behavior; a daily close above its recent high would negate the bearish bias.
– Indices (MNQ/NQ/MES): watching opening-range behavior, gaps, buy/sell-side liquidity and fair-value gaps. The presenter is re-acclimating after time away, so will watch price action for a few days rather than force trades. Emphasis on tape-reading, not chasing breakouts, and using specific levels (opening price, gap midpoints, consequent encroachment) to judge direction.
– Crude oil: could rally sharply (targets discussed up to $175–$200/bbl) if upcoming geopolitical/news actions occur.
– Metals: gold is bearish while below its key level; silver is in “no-man’s land”—neither a clear buy nor sell; advised to avoid trading it.
– Overarching theme: markets feel manipulated right now (“Tomfoolery”) with political/social-media-driven catalysts creating skittish, messy price action. Advice: be cautious, avoid heavy leverage or forced trades, and inexperienced traders should consider sitting out until price action cleans up.
– Operational notes: speaker was off-market for a week, will ease back into live analysis, and flagged time/translation constraints on the stream.
Bottom line: pay attention to the highlighted support/resistance, volume imbalances and fair-value-gap levels; stay cautious and observe opening-range signatures before trading in this volatile, manipulated environment.
Quiz
1. What did ICT say he would do if he were a brand-new trader with less than a year or two of experience?
A. Trade every market aggressively
B. Take the first half of the year off, and avoid summer trading
C. Increase leverage to learn faster
D. Focus only on silver futures
Evidence: “If your experience level is less than a year or maybe even two, maybe maybe take the first half the year off… don’t do anything in the summertime.”
Answer Key:
1. B


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