https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIs96_2rfkE

Summary — key points from the commentary:

– Plan/format: reviewed broad market (indices) on daily, then 15‑minute, then crude oil, gold, silver, dollar, EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Will update after market open (~6:15 ET). This is commentary/paper trading only, not trade advice.

– Method & setup: uses line charts plotted on highs for relative strength, watches SMT divergence, volume imbalances / fair value gaps / PD arrays, and compares nearby (March) vs next-month (June) futures for roll/inefficiency signals.

– Macro view / thesis: geopolitics (Middle East conflict) creates risk‑off conditions. Expect markets to retrace lower this spring — more likely into June (or by fall) — with Nasdaq and S&P showing bearish divergence. Dow is less reliable/too concentrated.

– Indices (daily / 15‑min): Nasdaq looks weakest (distribution); S&P compressed into an unusually narrow range and likely to draw down; short‑term price structure suggests gap lower, probe into gaps, then continuation down into sell‑side liquidity pools.

– Dollar and FX: risk‑off should support a stronger USD. EUR/USD and GBP/USD likely to weaken; GBPUSD bearish unless it closes above its consequent‑encroachment midpoint.

– Crude oil: strongly bullish given supply cuts and Middle East risk — immediate targets ~$130–$150, potential to accelerate higher (200s) if conditions worsen.

– Gold & silver: gold has bullish potential if it uses specific imbalance levels and stays in the upper half of its range; silver is highly manipulated and risky — speaker would avoid trading it (warns possible engineered drop).

– Risk management: markets are volatile and idiosyncratic — use low leverage, expect nesting/inefficiency behavior across contracts, and be prepared to change the view if key lows are taken out.

– Practical notes: will monitor the open and post any adjustments; commentary emphasizes caution and patience rather than chasing short‑term bullish trades.