Post US Holiday Monday Followup

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2bke4YH6ZuE

– Instructor reviewed the 15‑minute chart (highlighting fair-value gaps/inefficiencies) and described price action: the market moved into an inefficiency, retraced into a fair‑value gap, reacted up to a lower quadrant, then failed to reach the next octant and remained rangebound.

– Key trading lesson: avoid trading on low‑participation days—especially Mondays following U.S. bank holidays that fall on weekends—because liquidity is thin and price action is erratic. Tape‑read instead; don’t demo‑trade or force real risk.

– When the open is in the middle of a range (near the 50% / equilibrium), conviction is low and probability edges are unclear. Submit to price action, gather more data, and use “if‑then” rules rather than betting decisively early.

– Practical approach: mark the high/low of the dealing range and the internal inefficiencies/liquidity pools. Use those levels to decide actions only if the market proves a directional preference (sustained break or clear run).

– Behavioral advice: don’t force trades to satisfy ego or FOMO. If you lack impulse control, step away from the screens. Accept missing moves and learn from mistakes—today’s losses are lessons about not trading low‑probability conditions.

– Macro context: expect quieter, choppier “dog days” of summer and politically/manipulatively influenced markets—favor one‑direction, high‑alignment setups and reduce participation otherwise.

– Personal note: the presenter traded with his son, misread one scenario, mitigated risk, and used the example to reinforce risk discipline and the value of waiting for cleaner setups.

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