Part 2 \ How To Probe Low Probability RTH Opening Ranges 07/14/2026

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bz4QNPcpmWE

Summary:

The speaker reviews yesterday’s lesson about probing a low-probability opening range to the downside, clarifying why they focused on specific relative equal lows and a lower volume imbalance on the daily chart. They emphasize using higher-timeframe levels (daily/weekly) for probability and explain their one-minute/9:30AM analysis showing how the market made a regular-trading-hours low, was briefly swept lower in electronic hours, then produced structure shifts overnight (breakers, fair value gaps, liquidity sweeps) that pointed toward a rally.

Key observations:
– The annotated lows were chosen because they aligned with volume imbalances and were the first drops from the 9:30 area.
– Overnight price action showed testing of those lows, then rallies through value areas toward Monday’s opening-range gap and the new-week opening gap.
– There is unfinished upside “business” in those gaps, so the speaker expects price may move higher (today or on tomorrow’s PPI).

Risk guidance:
– Do not hold speculative positions into economic releases (CPI/PPI); the speaker will not trade them.
– Strong advice to manage risk carefully—don’t gamble unrealized profits into release events.

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