Trading NFP Thursday High Resistance Liquidity Runs

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpH0wDANtmM

The speaker is taking a short trade, aiming for the new-week opening-gap low and other prior fair-value-gap targets, because he believes recent 8:30 employment data are manipulated and will push price lower. Entry plan: short near the intraday/high of the gap, place the stop just above that gap high, and validate the trade if price closes below a key inversion fair-value-gap level (29,292.25). He monitors behavior of candles (no bodies in the upper half of inefficiencies) and opening-range gaps to confirm weakness, lowers the stop to ~29,340 once confirmation occurs, and takes partial profits (reducing from three contracts to leave a runner) while managing expectations and risk. He stresses this is guided by a market-maker sell-model (first-stage distribution → second-stage redistribution), not guesswork, and notes he usually avoids trading late in non‑farm‑payroll weeks because of heavy manipulation but made an exception to demonstrate his rules. Overall: a disciplined short with clear stop, staged profit-taking, and reliance on specific price-structure rules.

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