Summary:

ICT is hosting a live market-watch on a high-risk “D‑day/T‑day” with a major geopolitical event expected later. He issues a strong disclaimer: he’s neutral, likely to be wrong today, and anyone using his commentary as trade confirmation should avoid risking real money. Price action this morning is messy and dangerous — the market opened, ran buy‑side first (likely stopping out shorts and breakout buyers), then showed weak/uncertain selling, lots of wicks, gaps and inefficiencies around the regular‑trading‑hours opening‑range levels. That makes reads difficult and trading hazardous.

Key takeaways:
– Today is high‑risk and not a day for confident trading; sideline if you’re uncertain.
– The market appears engineered to create stops/traps (ran the buy side first despite bearish sentiment).
– Focus on observing price, tape, and levels (opening range gap, wicks, inefficiencies) rather than forcing trades.
– Developing anticipatory price‑action skills takes hands‑on experience and discipline; no teacher can guarantee profitability.
– If you must trade, be very conservative with stops and acknowledge the elevated chance of randomness/“lottery” outcomes.

Quiz

1. What did ICT say about taking trades during this morning’s live stream?
A. He encouraged viewers to trade aggressively
B. He said it was a good day to scalp quickly
C. He warned viewers not to use his commentary as confirmation to take a trade
D. He said the market was too predictable to avoid trading

2. How did ICT describe the market conditions for the morning?
A. Clean and highly predictable
B. Dangerous and likely to be messy
C. Calm with low risk
D. Strongly bullish with clear conviction

3. What was ICT’s overall bias for the morning?
A. Strong bullish bias
B. Strong bearish bias
C. Neutral bias
D. No opinion because he was not watching the market

4. What did ICT say the market did first after the opening bell?
A. Took sell-side liquidity first
B. Took buy-side liquidity first
C. Broke down and stayed below the opening range gap
D. Consolidated without taking any liquidity

5. What did ICT say new traders should do in a difficult environment like this?
A. Trade every move to gain experience quickly
B. Wait for a better setup and protect themselves by observing
C. Use higher leverage to maximize returns
D. Focus only on news headlines

Answer Key:
1. C Evidence: “please don’t do that today. I’m probably going to be wrong today. I’m probably going to get all wrong today. So, just bear that in mind.”
2. B Evidence: “I just don’t expect it to be clean price action. It’s probably going to be dangerous.”
3. C Evidence: “So, I have no bias this morning.”
4. B Evidence: “So far, we have taken a buy side and a sell side. Buy side’s taken first.”
5. B Evidence: “you have to learn what it is that’s going to hurt you” and “just sit and watch. Take the information in. Read the price action. Read the tape.”