– Market opened down after peace talks collapsed, creating a gap. ICT is watching regular trading hours opening ranges and anchoring fibs to assess whether the gap will be closed and where price may go next.
– Primary focus is price action and structure (opening-range gap, consequent encroachment, inversion/reclaimed fair value gaps, rejection blocks), not predicting or forcing trades.
– Clear trade criteria: require closing-basis confirmation (bodies, not just wicks), bodies to stay above/below midpoints of inefficiencies, and reclaimed/inversion FVGs before committing. Full gap closure + follow-through would signal continuation and potential higher targets.
– If price action is ambiguous or 50/50, the proper response is to sit out and wait for clearer, one‑sided structure rather than “trying” longs/shorts. High-probability setups give immediate feedback; anything else is lower probability.
– Stop hunts and engineered liquidity (not just stop orders but algorithmic behavior) create pools of opposing liquidity. Recognize these to avoid getting stopped out or to anticipate where price may reverse.
– Use multiple timeframes (e.g., 15s, 1min) to identify fair value gaps and orderflow confirmation; the next fair value gap on a lower timeframe often provides the entry signal once the higher-timeframe context aligns.
– Practical workflow: keep a simple notepad of levels/times, watch price live, annotate after a run, and journal both technical outcomes and emotional state to accelerate learning.
– Emphasizes anticipation over reaction (like a marksman), building pattern recognition through repeated exposure rather than chasing every move or copying other streamers.
– Critique of hype/gambling mentality on social media: warns against emotional crowd bias and influencers who “try” trades without conviction.
– Macro view: geopolitical events and algorithmic activity matter; speaker expects markets to become cleaner and more one‑sided after a new Fed chair is in place, which could bring sidelined money back and clearer trends.
– Teaching goal: train traders to read tape in difficult conditions, develop patience and discipline, and focus on repeatable, high-probability setups that compound over time.